Race of the Day – 3 Mar

Race of the Day – 15:05 Lingfield

We head to Lingfield for the Race of the Day, and a claiming stakes run over ten furlongs with just the six runners.

Gary Moore runs the current favourite, Gaelic Silver, and he has been in excellent form over the past two weeks, with six winners (20%) and 14 places (46.67%) from 30 runners, for level stakes profits of 9.91 and 17.34 respectively.

Black Dave is ridden by Adam Kirby, and anything he rides on the all weather needs to have a closer look. Kirby has a brilliant long term record here at Lingfield, with 197 winners from 953 runners (20.69%) for a level stakes profit of 23.19. Over such a large sample, that really is fantastic going.

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There is not a lot of green on the Instant Expert report for this race, however Black Dave has two sections of green (Course and Distance), and two of amber. He does look to have a very good chance of taking this today.

Leaders and prominent runners have the best record here over this distance, with both of them having over a 14% win strike rate.

Black Dave has the highest ‘Pace’ score and from looking at the previous running styles, it looks like he may only have the 100/1 shot Thrtypointstothree as company for the early lead. This looks like an obvious race for a typical ‘Kirby’ ride, where he leads them along and then strikes for home and is not able to be caught.

Horses For Courses is the report that is free to all users on a Friday, and today it highlights what an excellent record Black Dave has here at Lingfield. From ten races he’s had four winners (40%) and seven places (70%) for level stakes profits of 17.75 and 24.71. Gaelic Silver being the current favourite is keeping his price at a very reasonable 2/1, and for me that appears a bit of value given what we have looked at above.


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