Race of the Day – 14:30 Lingfield Park
This is a six furlong claiming stakes on the all weather at Lingfield, and there is a short priced favourite in the field of six.
Tom Dascombe trains the jolly, Flowers On Venus, and he has quite a useful record with last time out winners. He’s had 24 winners (19.83%) from 121 runners, for level stakes profits of 2.51. He was a good winner last time out in a similar race, and I think it will take a decent performance to topple him here today.
Fairway To Heaven is the second favourite, and he is ridden by Adam Kirby who has a phenomenal record at Lingfield. He has produced a level stakes profit over the last five years from over 950 races, which is an amazing achievement.
Flowers On Venus is the one runner that stands out on the Instant Expert tab, with four sections of green and just one of red. It interesting to note that he has just the one win from nine attempts over this distance, and although winning two out of his last three races, they were both over seven furlongs. If the early pace is high in this race, there is a chance he could get a little outpaced.
Leaders here over this distance have an excellent record, with almost 25% of them going on to win the race, for level stakes profits of 139.97. With prominent runners easily the next best, we are definitely looking for runners that are usually up with the pace.
With such a small field there shouldn’t be too much of a problem to get near the front if they break well, but Flowers Of Venus is usually very quickly away. If he can remain with the early pace, we have already seen that he will have the extra stamina when it comes to the final furlong.
Trainer Statistics is the report that is free to all users on a Wednesday, and it is an excellent tool for finding out where certain trainers excel, or where they ‘go’ to place a fancied runner.
Michael Wigham doesn’t send his horses to Lingfield that often, but when he does, they usually deliver. Over the past year he has had 11 runners here, with six of them winning, for level stakes profits of 16.42. He runs Fairway To Heaven here today, and given the slight doubts about the favourite over this distance, Fairway To Heaven maybe the value play in this race.
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