Stat of the Day, 14th March 2017

Monday’s Result :

7.50 Chelmsford : Rag Tatter @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 7/2 Soon led, ridden and edged right over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on

Tuesday’s pick goes in the…

8.15 Wolverhampton…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Peachey Carnehan7/2 BOG


A Classified Stakes race (Class 5, 6f for 3yo’s) with a gelding who has been running well enough of late (2133 last 4 runs) and has finished 1st and 3rd on his 2 visits here.

He was a winner here in a 7-runner race, wearing a visor at Class 5, so conditions are very similar again for this son of Foxwedge, whose offspring seem to have taken a liking to the tapeta surface, winning 7 of 21 (33.3% SR) for profits of 7.64pts (+36.4% ROI), with all 7 winners coming from 12 contests here at Wolverhampton (58.3% SR) resulting in level stakes profits of 16.64pts at an ROI of some 138.7%.

And of those 12 Wolverhampton runners, 3 yr olds are 4/6 (66.6%) for 12.22pts (+203.4%), whilst Class 5 runners are 3 winners from 5 (60%) for 3.24pts (+64.9%).

In addition to the horse’s suitability to the conditions and the sire stats, it’s also worth noting that trainer Michael Attwater is 11/52 (21.2% SR) for 47.4pts (+91.1% ROI) here since 2011.

And finally going back the horse’s recent form of 2133, 3 to 5 yr olds racing over 5 to 7 furlongs here at Wolves, who finished 2nd or 3rd LTO 11 or more days ago and also finished 2nd or 3rd on their penultimate run are 67/320 (20.9% SR) for 52.8pts (+16.5% ROI) since 2013.

…pointing to…a 1pt win bet on Peachey Carnehan 7/2 BOG which was available with Paddy Power and Betfair Sports at 6.40pm on Monday with a more than adequate 10/3 BOG offered by Hills, just in case! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 8.15 Wolverhampton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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