Wednesday’s Result :
3.15 Southwell : Brigadoon @ 9/2 BOG WON at 6/1 Led after 2f, made rest, clear over 3f out, increased lead over 2f out, eased in final furlong to win by 10 lengths
Thursday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Upavon @ 4/1 BOG
A 7 yr old gelding trained by Stuart Williams and I’m always interested in Stuart Williams’ A/W handicappers, providing the market suggests there’s at least a chance of a run for my money and the simple reason behind this pick is that since the start of 2013, it’s actually profitable to back them all!
Since 1/1/13 : Stuart Williams + A/W hcps = 89/513 (17.4$ SR) for 63.2pts (+12.3% ROI) and I could leave it there, but I wouldn’t want you to feel short changed, so without complicating matters too much, here are just some of the angles you can take to refine the main stat : all of which apply today, of course!
So, of the 513 we started with…
- those last seen 4-60 days ago (rested but not rusty!) = 80/449 (17.8%) for 68.3pts (+15.2%)
- over 4f to 1m : 78/411 (19%) for 97.9pts (+23.8%)
- top 6 finish LTO = 72/378 (19.1%) for 76.2pts (+20.2%)
- males are 68/373 (18.2%) for 66.4pts (+17.8%)
- at odds of 9/4 to 12/1 : 74/371 (20%) for 132.4pts (+35.7%)
- here at Chelmsford : 22/135 (16.3%) for 25.6pts (+18.9%)
- at Class 3 : 8/46 (17.4%) for 10.4pts (+22.7%)
- and 7 yr olds are 8/41 (19.5%) for 11.2pts (+27.4%)
…which points towards…a 1pt win bet on Upavon @ 4/1 BOG which was very widely available at 6.40pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.