Stat of the Day, 18th March 2017

Friday’s Result :

7.45 Wolverhampton : Oor Jock @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 13/8 In touch, headway over 1f out, ridden and every chance inside final furlong, stayed on, but beaten by 3/4 length.

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

6.45 Wolverhampton…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Amazement11/4 BOG


A four year old gelding who was a course and distance winner under today’s jockey, Luke Morris, by 2.25 lengths when last seen 23 days ago, taking his recent record to 3 wins and 2 places from his last seven outings, including 2 wins and a place from 4 races on the All-Weather.

And not only has he proven his suitability for the task in hand, a quick look at his trainer’s record over the last couple of years is reassuring, as in that time James Tate’s handicappers racing at trips of 6f to 10f are 45 from 205 (22% SR) for level stakes profits of 84.3pts at an ROI of 41.1%.

Those are great figures and in the context of today’s race, those 205 runners are…

  • 29/126 (23%) for 90.7pts (+72%) off a break of 16-90 days
  • whilst those priced at 6/1 and shorter are 37/19 (31.1%) for 55.4pts (+46.6%)
  • on the A/W, he is 30/115 (26.1%) for 52pts (+45.2%)
  • those ridden by Luke Morris are 17/87 (19.5%) for 29.4pts (+33.8%)
  • 4 yr olds are 10/37 (27%) for 33.5pts (+90.5%)
  • and here at Wolverhampton : 8/35 (22.9%) for 10.7pts (30.6%)

All of the above are applicable here today, of course…

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Amazement 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 8.15pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 6.45 Wolverhampton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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