Stat of the Day, 27th March 2017

Saturday’s Result :

3.25 Bangor : Cresswell Breeze @ 7/2 BOG 2nd at 9/4 Tracked leaders, led 6th, headed approaching last, soon rallied, no extra closing stages

Monday’s pick goes in the…

2.10 Market Rasen…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Norse Light3/1 BOG


Firstly an apology (thanks BT / SKY) for the tardiness of the write-up. Tech issues here in East Lancashire prevented me getting back online last night!

So, I’ll keep it brief (but the research done was as usual!)…

A 6 yr old gelding racing over 2m5f on Good to Soft ground, trained by David Dennis.

David’s hcp hurdlers at odds of 13.2 and shorter are 21/101 (20.8% SR) for 10.95pts (+10.84% ROI) since the start of 2014, including…

  • males : 21/98 (21.4%) for 13.95pts (+14.2%)
  • over 2m4f to 3m1f : 12/49 (24.5%) for 12.86pts (+26.2%)
  • on Gd to Soft : 7/22 (31.8%) for 15.66pts (+71.2%)
  • at Class 5 : 6/22 (27.3%) for 7.85pts (+35.7%)
  • and ridden by Sam Twiston-Davies : 3/7 (42.9%) for 12.09pts (+172.8%)

Furthermore, Norse Light is by Norse Dancer, whose 6/7 yr old offspring are 23/99 (23.2% SR) for 64.5pts (+65.2% ROI) since the start of 2015, from which…

  • Class 5 runners are 8/28 (28.6%) for 8.2pts (+29.2%)
  • over 2m 4.5 f to 2m 7.5f : 9/27 (33.3%) for 18.5pts (+68.5%)
  • and Class 5 runners over 2m 4.5 f to 2m 7.5f are 2/4 (50%) for 11.06pts (+276.5%)

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Norse Light 3/1 BOG which was available in at least half a dozen places at 7.00pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.10 Market Rasen

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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