Stat of the Day, 1st April 2017

Friday’s Result

16.10 Fontwell: Carspindle @ 11/4 BOG 1st at 9/2 Raced keenly, led, narrowly headed 5th, led again 7th, made rest, kept on strongly run-in, eased near finish

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

15:00 Doncaster

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Crazy Horse @7/2


Crazy Horse is a lightly raced four year old colt who is trained by John Gosden. He was good enough to win a Group 3 race over seven furlongs on good to soft as a two year old, and I think there could be a lot more to come from him this year.

From looking at his breeding, and the way he has finished his races over seven furlongs, suggests that the step up in trip to a mile will be perfect for him. With Dettori riding, I am hopeful of a big run today, with the following stats to back up our case.

  • at Doncaster over the past year Gosden is 10/40 (25%) for 3.5 pts
  • with middle distance runners he is 145/654 (22.17%) for 4.85 pts
  • with LTO winners he is 71/219 for 75.57 pts
  • and with horses coming back from a break of 60+ days  he is 67/216 for 45.1 pts
  • at Doncaster over the past year Dettori is 5/17 (29.41%) for 14.25 pts
  • on today’s going Crazy Horse is 2/2 (100%) for 6.75 pts

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Crazy Horse @ 7/2 BOG which was available from Bet365, Skybet and Betvictor at 19:00 on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 15:00 Doncaster

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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