Stat of the Day, 22nd April 2017

Friday’s Result :

4.40 Newbury : Bowson Fred @ 5/1 BOG 2nd at 4/1 Switch leaders, ridden to lead briefly inside final furlong, final furlong, soon headed and and not pace of winner, kept on for 2nd

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

2.35 Bangor…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Beneficial Joe11/4 BOG


This 7yr old gelding was in sparkling form last autumn/winter finishing 121 I in his last three runs before being rested.

He’s hasn’t actually raced over this 2m7f trip before, but he is 2 from 2 over 2m7.5f, with both wins coming in similar sized fields to today.

He now returns from a break of 28 weeks, but that doesn’t concern me too much as Graeme McPherson is very good at getting horses ready after a break and his handicappers racing with either no run or just one outing in the previous 90 days are 37/286 (12.9% ROI) for 301.8pts (+105.5% ROI) since 2010.

In addition to the above, his LTO winners are 9 from 39 (23.1% SR) over the last 18 months, including…

  • in handicaps : 9/34 (26.5%) for 4.48pts (+13.2%)
  • hurdlers are 9/29 (31%) for 9.48pts (+32.7%)
  • those priced at 7/1 and shorter are 9/24 (37.5%) for 14.48pts (+60.3%)
  • and Class 4 runners are 5/16 (31.25%) for 3.86pts (+24.1%)

AND…handicap hurdlers priced at 7/1 and shorter are 9/19 (47.4% SR) for 19.48pts (+102.5% ROI) with Class 4 runners winning 5 of 9 (55.6%) for 10.86pts (+120.6%)

…but first…a 1pt win bet on Beneficial Joe11/4 BOG which was widely available at 9.20pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.35 Bangor

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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