Stat of the Day, 2nd May 2017
Monday’s Result :
2.50 Bath : Poets Society @ 4/1 BOG 4th at 4/1 Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, stayed on
Tuesday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Who?
Foxcatcher @ 11/4 BOG
Why?
A 3 yr old filly who was a winner by 2.5 lengths in this grade at Windsor when last seen some 197 days ago.
She’s trained by Clive Cox whose runners have 4 wins and 3 places from 15 in the last fortnight and 8 wins/5 places from 28 over the past month, so the yard is in good current form, whilst here at Brighton over the last three seasons, the team are 7 from 22 (31.8% SR) for 12.62pts (+57.4% ROI), including…
- his only runner at the track : 5/12 (41.7%) for 14.67pts (+122.3%)
- females : 4/12 (33.3%) for 11.21 pts (+93.4%)
- Class 5 : 4/12 (33.3%) for 6.92pts (+57.6%)
- on Good ground : 2/8 (25%) for 6.44pts (+80.4%)
- only runner of the day : 4/6 (66.6%) for 18.42pts (+306.9%)
- and those returning from a break of 5 to 8 months are 2 from 3 (66.6%) for 2.71pts (+90.3%)
On top of that, Clive’s LTO winners are 17/62 (27.4% SR) for 53.9pts (+85.3% ROI) over the last 12 months and of those 62 runners…
- 3 yr olds are 10/36 (27.8%) for 25.6pts (+71%)
- females are 9/28 (32.1%) for 28pts (+100%)
- and at Class 5 : 5/14 (35.7%) for 2.22pts (+15.9%)
AND…3 yr old females running at Class 5 won 3 of 6 (50% SR) for 4.8pts (+80.0% ROI) profit…
…pointing towards…a 1pt win bet on Foxcatcher @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 7.45pm on Monday, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
…click here for the betting on the 2.30 Brighton
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.
Leave a Reply
Want to join the discussion?Feel free to contribute!