Race of the Day – 4 May

Race of the Day – 16:20 Towcester

This is a three mile handicap hurdle at Towcester, and with the going good to firm, it makes it an interesting race.

Noel Fehily, who rides Horace Hazel for Anthony Honeyball today, has been in really good form recently. He’s had seven winners (28%) from 25 runners over the last 14 days for a level stakes profit of 4.23. He also has some useful form here at Towcester.

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Kayla has a lovely full line of green, and is the stand out horse on this report. As mentioned above, the going is good to firm which doesn’t happen that often for a meeting at Towcester, therefore having runners that have coped with these kind of conditions before is paramount, in my opinion. She has run twice on today’s going, winning one and finishing second in the other, so we know conditions will suit. She was disappointing last time out, however that was her first run since last July and will hopefully have put her spot on for this.

When looking at the Pace report we can see that early leaders here over this distance don’t have that great a record. In fact it is runners in the mid division that do best, wtth 14.29% of them going on to win the race, for a small level stakes loss.

It doesn’t appear that the pace of the race has a huge bearing on the result, but it seems pretty certain that it will be Shantou Tiger taking them along, as he is a confirmed front runner.

It has only been the two races, however the Horses For Courses report confirms the liking of the course by Kayla. She is 2/2 for a level stakes profit of 6.50, and given her penchant for today’s underfoot conditions, I think she may take all the beating in this.

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