Stat of the Day, 20th May 2017

Friday’s Result :

2.10 Newmarket : Passcode @ 9/2 BOG 5th at 10/3 In touch, headway 2f out, ridden and no impression after.

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

5.00 Newmarket…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Star Rock11/4 BOG

Why?

4th and 5th in her two runs last season, both over a mile, but was a runner-up on her only outing this year when stepped up to 1m2f, despite coming off the back of a 170-day absence.

She has every right to strip fitter for the run and the drop in class should also help her attempt to improve the recent form of trainer Hughie Morrison, who already has 4 winners from 19 over the last fortnight.

What also drew me to this horse, was Hughie’s record with horses priced at 6/4 to 10/1 running over today’s trip since 2008, which stands at 44/218 (20.2% SR) for 42.1pts (+19.3% ROI), including of relevance today…

  • those racing at Classes 4 to 6 are 40/184 (21.7%) for 54.2pts (+29.5%)
  • those whose last run was in the past 30 days are 32/127 (25.2%) for 41.6pts (+32.8%)
  • females are 24/99 (24.2%) for 46.4pts (+46.8%)
  • in 3yo only races : 12/59 (20.3%) for 18.3pts (+31.1%)
  • and in races solely for female runners : 10/46 (21.7%) for 17pts (+37%)

…for…a 1pt win bet on Star Rock11/4 BOG which was widely available at 7.35pm on Friday, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 5.00 Newmarket

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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