Wednesday’s Result :
8.10 Ayr : Trinity Star @ 10/3 BOG 5th at 5/4 Dwelt towards rear, switched right 2f out, ridden and headway entering final furlong, no impression towards finish.
Thursday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Fredricka @ 7/2 BOG
A very consistent 6 yr old Mare who has finished 232213 in her last four outings on the A/W, having shown improvement under the four runs she had whilst at Jose Santos’ yard.
She now makes a debut for trainer Chris Dwyer, whose runners are going really well of late with 4 winners and 2 placers from 9 in the last fortnight and 3 winners / 2 placers from 8 in the last week.
More long-term, the Dwyer A/W handicappers are 82/489 (16.8% SR) for 194.5pts (+39.8% ROI) since 2013, including of note/relevance today…
- over trips of 5 to 8 furlongs : 69/381 (18.1%) for 235.8pts (+61.9%)
- females are 31/170 (18.2%) for 63.7pts (+37.5%)
- on Tapeta : 16/106 (15.1%) for 33.3pts (+31.4%)
- in female only races : 13/43 (30.2%) for 28.24pts (+65.7%)
- females over trips of 5 to 8 furlongs on Tapeta : 6/21 (28.6%) for 46.7pts (+222.2%)
- and females over trips of 5 to 8 furlongs on Tapeta in female only races : 3/5 (60%) for 29.26pts (+585.3%)
…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Fredricka @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 6.25pm on Wednesday, but those able to take the 4/1 BOG offered by Ladbrokes would be advised to do so. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.