Thursday’s Result :
7.35 Sandown : Hold Sway @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 9/4 Tracked leader, ridden to lead over 2f out, soon headed, kept on but lost 2nd inside final furlong.
Thursday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Zambesi Queen @ 11/4 BOG
A very comfortable winner by some 5 lengths over this 6f trip when last seen five weeks ago. She was ridden by today’s jockey, David Probert that day as she scored on her handicap debut despite being off the track for 5 months, so she could well have more to give.
Trainer Paul Cole’s handicappers with less than 4 handicap runs under their belts are 16/95 (16.8% SR) for 41.8pts (+44% ROI) over the last two years, which is very impressive indeed and under today’s conditions, they are…
- 12/67 (17.9%) for 32.25pts (+48.1%), 6 to 60 days since their last run
- 11/58 (19%) for 23.1pts (+39.8%) on Turf
- 3 yr olds are 10/57 (17.5%) for 42.9pts (+75.2%)
- 6/32 (18.75%) for 41.7pts (+130.5%) at Class 5
- females are 4/22 (18.2%) for 29.7pts (+135%)
- 5/15 (33.3%) for 51.5pts (+343.2%) over 6f
- those with 1 previous hcp win are 4/13 (30.8%) for 20pts (+153.9%)
- and those ridden by David Probert are 3/5 (60%) for 30.95pts (+618.9%)
…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Zambesi Queen @ 11/4 BOG which was offered by both Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.40pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.