Race of the Day – 18:30 Newcastle
We head to an evening meeting on the all weather at Newcastle for Race of the Day, and a fillies’ handicap over five furlongs.
Intense Romance is at the top of the Speed Ratings, and she has shown some useful form of late. She’s had two wins in her last six outings, and I think she still looks reasonably well treated on the all weather. She has won over course and distance twice already, and both trainer and jockey are in very good form. Over the past 30 days trainer Michael Dods has had 16 winners (24.24%) and 27 places (40.91%) from 66 runners, for level stakes profits of 40.79 and 38.89 respectively.
When looking at the Instant Expert report, Intense Romance comes out very well, with four sections of green. She has actually won all three of her outings here at Newcastle, however she does have to prove she can be as effective from a five pound higher mark now. She is a three year old in wonderful form so I can see her improving again and being tough to beat.
Reedanjas has three sections of green and two of grey, having never run on the all weather before. Her sire, Sir Prancealot, does have a very good record with runners on the all weather though, so it can be reasonably expected that she will take to it just fine.
Newcastle isn’t renowned as a course that necessarily favours front runners, and from looking at the Pace report we can see this is the case over this distance. Prominent runners as opposed to front runners have the best record, with 13.69% of them going on to win the race, compared with 10.47% of front runners.
Lady Cristal and Paradwys are clear on the pace scores and look the most likely leaders through the first furlong or so. Several of the rest of the field like to be quite handy during their races, so this may well be run at a very quick pace.
Horses For Courses is the report that is available to all registered users on a Friday, and today it highlights the very impressive record of Savannah Beau when running here at Newcastle. From her six races here she has won three times, fora level stakes profit of 28.33.
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