Stat of the Day, 5th July 2017

Tuesday’s Result :

8.20 Stratford : No Such Number @ 4/1 BOG 6th at 5/1 Led to 2 out, then faded badly, last home.

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

8.10 Kempton…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Your first 30 days for just £1

Who?

Clowance One3/1 BOG

Why?

Roger Charlton’s horses are going well, winning 11 of 45 (24.2% SR) over the past month and 6 from 20 (30%) over the last couple of weeks and he now runs a 5 yr old gelding who was only beaten by a head twice into third place when last seen a week ago, also on this track and under today’s jockey Kieran Shoemark.

Roger’s stayers (1m7.5f to 2m0.5f) are 7 from 13 (53.8% SR) for 37pts (+284.6% ROI) profit over the last three years, from which…

  • males : 6/11 (54.5%) for 35.85pts (+325.9%)
  • handicaps : 6/7 (85.7%) for 33.06pts (+472.3%)
  • on A/W : 3/4 (75%) for 17pts (+425%)
  • Kempton : 2/3 (66.6%) for 14.87pts (+495.6%)
  • Class 3 : 2/2 (100%) for 7pts (+350%)

And in addition to the above, since 2010, his runners priced at 4/1 and shorter turned back out just 4-15 days after a 2nd or 3rd placed finish are 24/47 (51.1% SR) for 24.6pts (+52.3% ROI) profit and these 47 include…

  • handicappers @ 12/23 (52.2%) for 19.7pts (+85.8%)
  • A/W runners @ 6/14 (42.9%) for 5.9pts (+42.2%)
  • 4-7 days since last run = 4/5 (80%) for 7.46pts (+149.2%)
  • and 5 yr olds are 2/3 (66.6%) for 2.82pts (+94%)

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Clowance One3/1 BOG which was available in a half dozen or so places at 5.55pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 8.10 Kempton…

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *