Stat of the Day, 8th July 2017

Friday’s Result :

4.10 Doncaster : Pleasant Surprise @ 3/1 BOG WON at 2/1 Steadied start, held up in rear, headway over 2f out, led over 1f out, held on well to win by a length.

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

3.35 Sandown…

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Barney Roy @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

Three wins from four so far for this three year (runner-up beaten by a length in the Guineas was his only defeat), 2 from 3 on Good to Firm, 2/3 under James Doyle, won a Gr 1 LTO 18 days ago and is 1/1 going right handed.

So conditions look fine and this allies well to the fact that on the Flat, Class 1 males who won a Class 1 race LTO 11-45 days ago are 25/66 (37.9% SR) for 42.6pts (+64.5%ROI) since 2014, with those running on Good to Firm winning 13 of 29 (44.8%) for 26.8pts (+92.3%) and here at Sandown, it’s 3 from 7 (42.9%) for 1.2pts (+17% ROI).

Short and sweet today, but solid facts nonetheless…

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Barney Roy @ 3/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.20pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.35 Sandown…

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!