Stat of the Day, 11th August 2017

Thursday’s Result :

15:30 Brighton – Predergast Hill @ 5/1 BOG – 4th Tracked leaders, challenged 3f out, driven and edged right over 1f out, lost 2nd over 1f out, one pace inside final furlong op 4/1 tchd 9/2

Friday’s pick goes in the…

17:40 Haydock

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Donnachies Girl @ 9/4 BOG


Donnachies Girl has been in excellent form with three wins and a second place from her last four runs. I am hoping that a three-pound rise for her good win in a much higher class of race on the all weather at Newcastle last time out won’t be enough to stop her going in again.

She is right at home when the conditions are a little softer like they will encounter today, which is a bonus as I’m not sure too many of her rivals are.

The following stats back up today’s selection:

  • trainer Alistair Whillans for the last 30 days is 3/25 (12%) for 4.25 pts
  • with flat staying horses he is 8/44 (18.18%) for 10.5 pts
  • jockey Seamus Cronin for the past 30 days is 6/16 (37.5%) for 19.25 pts
  • over today’s distance, Donnacies Girl is 2/3 (66.67%) for 15 pts
  • on today’s going she is 1/2 (50%) for 1.5 pts

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Donnachies Girl @ 9/4 BOG which was available with Bet365 and Paddy Power at 7.00pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 17:40 Haydock

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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