Stat of the Day, 16th August 2017

Tuesday’s Result :

8.10 Chelmsford Golden Goal @ 5/2 BOG – 6th at 9/4 : Held up mid-division, ridden over 1f out, soon switched right, kept on same pace…

Wednesday’s pick goes in the…

5.15 Beverley

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Regal Mirage @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

Having shown very little in 3 maidens at 7f/1m, the step up to handicap racing over longer trips seems to have worked its magic (or perhaps that was the plan all along?).

Either way, this 3 yr old gelding has now finished 31111 in five handicap starts, all at 9f and beyond and whilst it might well look an easy/lazy pick, I do believe he’s got every chance based on his suitability to the task ahead.

In handicaps, he has 4 wins and a place from 5 starts, all at 1m1f and beyond and all in fields of 8-14 runners, and based on what faces him here, he is…

  • 4/4 after a break of less than 30 days
  • 3/4 in fields of 8-11 runners
  • 3/3 when priced at 4/1 or shorter
  • 2/3 when ridden by David Allan
  • 2/2 at 1m3f/1m4f
  • 2/2 at Class 5
  • 2/2 on Good ground
  • 2/2 going right handed
  • and 2/2 when sent off as favourite

…enough to justify… a 1pt win bet on Regal Mirage @ 11/4 BOG which was available with Bet365, BetVictor and Betway at 6.00pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 5.15 Beverley

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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