Monday’s Result :
Tuesday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Prosecution @ 11/4 BOG
As this is a maiden handicap, there’s obviously no winning form on offer here, making our pick’s recent finishes of 232 the best of this bunch today. Placed in 3 of 4 starts on the Flat so far, either at this level or higher suggests he well just have a little bit too much for his rivals and also interests me because…
…2012-17 / UK Flat / 3-5 yr olds / 7f-1m4f / top 3 finish in each of last 3 races / 2nd or 3rd LTO 6-30 days ago = 308/1447 (21.3% SR) for 282.1pts (+19.5% ROI) including…
- those last seen 16-30 days back : 190/880 (21.6%) for 252.5pts (+28.7%)
- LTO runners-up are 191/811 (23.6%) for 136.2pts (+16.8%)
- Class 5 runners are 125/435 (28.7%) for 62.9pts (+14.5%)
Added to this, we have trainer Hughie Morrison / 2-3 yr old males / Class 3 to 6 Flat handicaps / July to September / 2012-17 = 13/67 (19.4% SR) for 11.5pts (+17.2% ROI), from which…
- over the last three seasons : 9/42 (21.4%) for 12.93pts (+30.8%)
- priced at 7/4 to 9/2 : 11/31 (35.5%) for 17.4pts (+56.1%)
- and in August : 4/22 (18.2%) for 5.07pts (+23%)
…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Prosecution @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 6.20pm on Monday, whilst those with an unrestricted Ladbrokes account can get 3/1. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!