Stat of the Day, 25th August 2017

Thursday’s Result :

2.25 York : Madeline @ 3/1 BOG – 2nd at 7/2 : Keen early, tracked leaders, pushed along and unable to quicken 2f out, ridden and stayed on to go 2nd inside final furlong, not pace to challenge…

Friday’s pick also goes in the…

2.25 York :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Your first 30 days for just £1


Dartmouth @ 4/1 BOG


On a day when there aren’t a lot of horses that jump out from a statistical point of view, this is a fairly straightforward/obvious pick. At 50%, he has easily the best strike rate of all 9 runners in this contest, after winning 8 of 16 starts to date and in those 16 races so far, he is…

  • 7/12 in fields of 5-10 runners
  • 5/10 in non-handicap contests
  • 5/7 under Ryan Moore
  • 4/7 in Group races
  • 4/4 at odds of 5/2 to 4/1
  • 3/4 going left handed
  • 3/3 beyond 1m4f
  • 2/3 at Group 2
  • and 1/1 here at York

In addition to his own suitability, his yard is in good form and despite not having a winner here on Thursday they’d landed 10 winners from 28 in the previous fortnight and 5 from 14 in the previous week.

Plus Sir Michael Stoute’s runners here at York are 10/35 (28.6% SR) for 32pts (+91.3% ROI) over the past couple of seasons…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Dartmouth @ 4/1 BOG which was offered in a half dozen places at 6.05pm on Thursday, whilst Hills were best priced at 9/2 BOG. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.25 York 

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *