Stat of the Day, 26th August 2017

Friday’s Result :

2.25 York: Dartmouth @ 4/1 BOG – 2nd at 11/4 Mid-division, tracked leaders 3f out, challenged over 2f out, ridden to lead narrowly over 1f out, drifted right under pressure inside final furlong, kept on, headed post, beaten by a nose…

Saturday’s pick goes in the…

5.10 Cartmel:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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Beeno @ 7/2 BOG


Lady Luck is being a bit of an unsavoury sort just now, as we got chinned on the line for a second straight day. Hard to take but we move on.

Saturday’s pick is a hat-trick-seeking hurdler who makes the grade as a result of his trainer’s excellent course record. The trainer is Ken Slack, whose Cartmel scoresheet reads seven wins from 21 starts in the last five years (since he took over from his mum, in fact). That 33% strike rate has been good for a 50 (yes, fifty!) point profit, and an A/E and IV of well over 2.0.

Six of those seven winners came in handicap company, from 17 starters, bringing the hit rate up to 35%.

Beeno has been responsible for two of those six victories, both over course and distance and the more recent in this class, Class 3. Beeno’s course record reads 411, the two wins on his last two starts.

He has an inexperienced rider, Mr R Hogg, but a rider who has tasted success on the selection. Beeno has been a facile winner the last twice over this track and trip and, while that was not lost on the handicapper, he must have every chance of the hat-trick at a perfectly playable price.

…so, for now, it’s… a 1pt win bet on Beeno @ 7/2 BOG which was available with bet365, Skybet and Victor at 9.05pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 5.10 Cartmel

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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