Stat of the Day, 28th August 2017

Saturday’s Result :

5.10 Cartmel : Beeno @ 7/2 BOG – WON at 2/1 Took keen hold, tracked leader, led after 2 out, clear from last, easily won by seven lengths

Thanks again to Matt for stepping in at late notice on Friday evening and now after completing my father of the bride duties yesterday, I’m back with…

Bank Holiday Monday’s pick which goes in the…

4.05 Cartmel :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

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Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Morning Royalty @ 7/2 BOG


He might well be 10 yes old now, but over the last two years, he has been as consistent as ever before in his career, making the frame 14 times from his last 18 runs over both hurdles and fences, picking up 5 wins in the process. His last three contests have seen him finish 112 and today’s conditions should suit him, as he’s…

  • 5/23 under jockey Brian Hughes
  • 5/17 after a break of 1 to 2 months
  • 3/7 here at Cartmel
  • 2/2 over today’s trip
  • 2/2 over course and distance

His handler, James Moffat, is based just three quarters of a mile away from this track and unsurprisingly has a good record here, landing 24 winners from 169 (14.2% SR) for 115.3pts (+68.2% ROI) profits since 2012, of which…

  • chasers are 7/46 (15.2%) for 26.2pts (+56.9%)
  • those racing over trips of 2m6.5f to 3m2f are 6/33 (18.2%) for 25.9pts (+8.5%)
  • and those rested for 46-60 days are 5/17 (29.4%) for 14.8pts (+86.8%)

And more generally over the last couple of years, James’ longer distance runners (ie that same 2m6.5f to 3m2f spread as above) are 8 from 41  (19.5% SR) for 54.4pts at an ROI of 132.8% and these 41 runners include…

  • handicappers @ 7/38 (18.4%) for 52pts (+136.9%)
  • and chasers (all handicappers) are 4/9 (44.4%) for 61.2pts (+680.3%)

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Morning Royalty @ 7/2 BOG which was available with Bet365, Ladbrokes, Sunbets and Victor at 8.55pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.05 Cartmel

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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