Stat of the Day, 31st August 2017

Wednesday’s Result :

4.40 Lingfield : Transmitting @ 9/2 BOG – WON at 7/4 : Chased leaders, driven to challenge over 2f out, every chance over 1f out, led inside final furlong, kept on well to win by a length and three quarters…

Thursday’s pick goes in the…

3.40 Bath :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Paint @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

A 2yr old filly on handicap/nursery debut for the in-form Richard Hannon yard, who like sending runners here to bath, as they’ve got a 17.5% strike rate here over the last four seasons (25/143), whilst this year alone they are 9/33 (27.3% SR) for 11.2pts (+33.9% ROI) profit at this venue.

Also, the Hannon 2 yr olds on handicap debut are 23/153 (15% SR) for 28pts (+18.3% ROI) over the last three seasons, including of note today…

• those with 3 previous runs under their belts : 15/104 (14.4%) for 36.2pts (+34.8%)
• those without a previous win are 13/97 (13.4%) for 26.2pts (+27%)
• those finishing 3rd to 6th LTO are 13/63 (20.6%) for 48.2pts (+76.5%)
• at Class 5 : 8/52 (15.4%) for 31.1pts (+59.7%)
• and those up in trip by a furlong are 8/49 (16.3%) for 19.5pts (+39.7%)

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Paint @ 3/1 BOG, which was available from Bet365, Ladbrokes &, Sunbets at 6.05pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.40 Bath

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!