Race of the Day - 16:05 Thirsk

Race of the Day – 16:05 Thirsk

The Horses For Courses report is available to all registered users on a Friday, and it is an excellent report for highlighting tracks that certain horses excel at.

The Armed Man has raced at Thirsk three times so far, and he has won all three, for a level stakes profit of 17.oo.

Looking at the Full Filter report with ‘course’ selected under ‘course characteristics’ we can see that all three of those wins came over today’s trip and on either good or good to firm going. He is a further five pounds higher in the handicap that for the last of those wins and also takes a step up in class, however, these appear to be conditions he likes.

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The Armed Man has three sections of green when looking at the Instant Expert report, which is as good as any of his rivals here, and better than most. A lot of the field is also a few pounds higher in the handicap than for their last victory, so he certainly isn’t alone here.

Early leaders here over this distance have the best record, but it is just an amber pace ‘blob’, so it is not a huge bias.

There are a few runners in this field that are usually quickly away, with The Armed Man being one of these. I would expect jockey Paula Muir to adopt similar tactics to the last win, and be right up with the pace early on.

The Armed Man is drawn in stall nine which looks a good draw considering high numbers appear to be favoured here.

He has to prove he can cope with the extra weight whilst stepping up in class, but he has the right conditions for a big run and I think there is a little value in his price of 8/1 in what is an open race.

Click here for the 16:05 at Thirsk.

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