Race of the Day – 14 Sep

Race of the Day – 16:35 Doncaster

The Trainer Snippets report shows that James Fanshawe has a particularly good record with his staying runners. He’s had 21 winners (21.88%) and 44 places (45.83%) from 96 runners, which have produced level stakes profits of 12.24 and 20.64 respectively. The Impact Value for this is 1.98, meaning he is also twice as likely to have the winner as the average.

He actually has two runners in this race but it is Nathalie that I am going to be concentrating on.

This is the first time in a handicap for Nathalie and Fanshawe has a promising record with making their handicap debut here at Doncaster. Admittedly it is a very small sample, however, he has a 50% strike rate from his eight runners.

Nathalie was an easy winner of maiden last time out and 12 furlongs looks a good distance for her. This Nathaniel filly is untested on ground softer than good but her breeding would suggest she will be fine with today’s conditions.

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This is quite a step up in class for the three-year-old but a mark of 83 appears workable.

The trainer form on the racecard tab shows that as well as Fanshawe having a good record with stayers, he is showing a strike rate of 21.24% in handicaps (from 259 runners) and these have yielded a level stakes profit of 19.39.

He has also been successful here at Doncaster over the last year (5/18) for 9.96 points and an Impact Value of 2.63.

Jockey George Wood has been riding extremely well recently and he also has a positive past record here at Doncaster. He is still able to claim a useful three pounds as well, which is a nice plus.

There are just the six runners in this race so it will be interesting to see how quickly they go from the start. Both Pacharana and Camerone are usually at the head of affairs early on and they look likely to be taking them along through the first part of the race.

Prominent runners here over this distance have the best record and that is how Nathalie raced when winning last time out. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see George Wood do the same here and hopefully he will have the finish to repeat that feat.

It certainly won’t be straightforward against the well fancied Haggas runner, but at 6/1 I think he is a bit of value.

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