Stat of the Day, 21st September 2017

Wednesday’s Result :

3.05 Sandown : D’Bai @ 3/1 BOG 6th at 7/4 : Held up towards rear, headway and not much room over 1f out, kept on same pace…

Thursday’s pick goes in the…

9.15 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Bollin Ted @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

This in-form 3yo gelding (11361 last 5 runs) has finished 1131 in his last four efforts at today’s 1m2f trip and is also 3 from 7 in this grade.

He now makes a polytrack debut for trainer Tim Easterby whose handicappers are 29/161 (18% SR) for 79.8pts (+49.6% ROI) on this surface since 2010. And of those 161 runners…

  • those last seen 6-30 days ago are 23/115 (20%) for 74.3pts (+64.6%)
  • those priced at 9/4 to 8/1 are 21/86 (24.4%) for 43.5pts (+50.5%)
  • 3 yr olds are 13/56 (23.2%) for 24.2pts (+43.3%)
  • and at Class 6 : 13/55 (23.6%) for 30.4pts (+55.3%)

And today’s short and hopefully sweet piece is concluded by combining the above stats to find that 3 yr olds at 9/4 to 8/1 in Class 6 polytrack handicaps 6 to 30 days after their last run are 5/13 (38.5% SR) for 16.5pts (+126.9% ROI)…

…suggesting… a 1pt win bet on Bollin Ted @ 3/1 BOG, which was offered by Bet365, Betway & SkyBet at 6.15pm on Wednesday. For what it’s worth, I’m on with SkyBet, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 9.15 Chelmsford

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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