Stat of the Day, 5th October 2017

Wednesday’s Result :

7.40 Kempton : Brilliant Vanguard @ 4/1 BOG 4th at 6/1 : Chased leaders, ridden and unable to quicken when hung right over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong…

Thursday’s selection goes in the…

4.25 Warwick :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Shanroe Santos @ 11/2 BOG

Why?

An 8 yr old gelding who has the following achievements relevant to today’s contest…

  • 3 from 7 over 3m/3m0.5f  (of which 2/4 in chases)
  • 2/7 under Leighton Aspell (1/5 in chases)
  • 3/6 at odds of 6/1 and shorter (2/4)
  • 2/6 at Class 3 (2/4)
  • 2/5 this year (2/5)
  • 2/4 in cheekpieces (2/4)
  • 2/4 in fields of 1-7 runners (1/3)

And he’s trained by Lucy Wadham, whose chasers are 36/189 (19.1% SR) for 96pts (+50.8% ROI) since 2012, including…

  • males @ 30/152 (19.7%) for 92.5pts (+60.9%)
  • at trips of 2m4.5f to 3m0.5f : 28/110 (25.5%) for 62.2pts (+56.5%)
  • at Class 3 : 14/68 (20.6%) for 78.6pts (+115.5%)
  • in the October-December final quarter : 15/61 (24.6%) for 96.5pts (+158.2%)
  • those running after a break of 5 to 10 months : 5/24 (20.8%) for 65pts (+270.9%)
  • and here at Warwick : 2/8 (25%) for 4.2pts (+52.5%)

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Shanroe Santos @ 11/2 BOG, which was offered by half a dozen firms at 5.50pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 4.25 Warwick

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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