Stat of the Day, 12th October 2017

Wednesday’s Result :

3.10 Towcester : Sailors Warn @ 3/1 BOG 3rd at 3/1 : Jumped left and not always fluent, in rear, headway when blundered badly 3 out, no chance after, went 3rd close home…

Thursday’s selection goes in the…

2.20 Worcester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Get Ready Freddy @ 5/2 BOG

Why?

A Class 4, 4yo+ handicap chase over 2m0.5f on good ground…

…where this 7 yr old gelding will attempt to continue a rich vein of form that has seen him finish 141221 in his last six outings (14121 over fences), having won at Uttoxeter last time out, 18 days ago.

In six efforts in chase contests, he has achieved the following…

  • 3/5 at 2m to 2m1f
  • 2/3 since moving to Dan Skelton’s yard
  • 2/3 under jockey Harry Skelton
  • 2/3 going left handed
  • 2/3 wearing a tongue tie
  • 1/1 here at Worcester
  • 1/1 over course and distance

The Skelton partnership is, of course also something to consider as when Dan & Harry have previously teamed up in Class 4/5 handicap chases, they have 43 winners from 140 (30.7% SR) for profits of 42.9pts at a decent ROI of 30.6%, from which…

  • male runners are 40/127 (31.5%) for 44.4pts (+34.9%)
  • on Good ground : 27/82 (32.9%) for 22.2pts (+27.1%)
  • in the August to December period : 21/66 (31.8%) for 39.4pts (+59.8%)
  • over trips of 2m to 2m1.5f : 15/43 (34.9%) for 24pts (+55.9%)
  • in 2017: 12/39 (30.8%) for 14.7pts (+37.6%)
  • and 7 yr olds are 12/24 (50%) for 27.3pts (+113.7%)

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Get Ready Freddy @ 5/2 BOG, which was widely available at 6.25pm on Wednesesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.20 Worcester

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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