Race of the Day – 27 Oct

Race of the Day – 19:15 Wolverhampton

Horses For Courses is the free report that is available to all users on a Friday, and it shows what a good record Spes Nostra has when racing at Wolverhampton.

He has managed to have five winners (29.41%) and 8 places (47.06%) from 17 runners, for level stakes profits of 25.75 and 30.10 respectively.

The current form of Spes Nostra looks pretty horrific, however, over the summer he has been racing solely on the turf which is a surface he clearly doesn’t enjoy.

He has an excellent overall record on the all-weather courses and because of his poor runs on the turf, he has slipped to a very attractive handicap mark. He has previously won off a mark of 88 and is 11 pounds lower than that here today.

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Iain Jardine has a very useful record with his staying horses, as his strike rate with these is over 3% higher than his overall average, and has produced an Impact Value of 1.48.

Jockey Dougie Costello has been among the winners recently, with nine winners (15.25%) and 16 places (27.12%) from his last 59 runners, for level stakes profits of 18.38 and 6.16 respectively, and an Impact Value of 1.60.

A few of the runners in this field look well suited to today’s conditions when looking at the Instant Expert report, as they have a good few sections of green.

Spes Nostra has four sections of amber which shows he is reasonably well suited by today’s conditions, but nothing more.

The Pace report shows that there isn’t a huge bias when it comes to running styles, as there is little to choose between early leaders and prominent runners.

Spes Nostra is likely to be between mid-division and the prominent runners, and I am hoping that if he still has a little of the old spark he will be able to pick them off entering the final furlong and put up a decent performance.

Click here for the 19:15 at Wolverhampton.

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