Race of the Day – 31 Oct

Race of the Day – 20:10 Wolverhampton

The Trainer Snippets report for today shows what a good record John Butler has with horses returning from a break of at least 60 days. With his last 70 such runners, he’s managed 13 winners (18.57%) and 20 places (28.57%) for level stakes profits of 127.25 and 143.74 respectively, and an Impact value of 1.95.

Joyful Dream fits that profile today, having her first run for 180 days and also her first since switching to this yard.

Taking a look back at her form for the past 15 month shows that she has been racing mainly over six and seven furlongs. Her last race over a mile saw an encouraging third place from a mark that was seven pounds higher than today’s.

It is interesting that her first run for the new yard sees her step up in trip to nine furlongs, a distance that she would be expected to be capable over from a look at her breeding.

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The Trainer Snippets on the racecard show that John Butler has a useful record here at Wolverhampton over the past year.

He also does well with horses that are moving in distance from their last race, which we have touched on above, and he shows a healthy level stakes profit with runners he has inherited from other yards.

Jockey Ben Curtis has been among the winners recently, as over the past couple of weeks he’s had four winners (13.33%) and seven places (23.33%) from 30 runners, for level stakes profits of 13.70 and 2.45 respectively.

The Pace report shows that early leaders over this distance and prominent runners have the best record, with Midici Moon looking likely to be one of the early pacesetters.

Joyful Dream is usually around mid-division, but with a change of trainer and distance, it is tricky to have any idea what tactics they will use with her. She is drawn in stall one so has a good spot to be able to get a decent early position if she is able to break away well.

Click here for the 20:10 at Wolverhampton.

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