Stat of the Day, 11th November 2017

Friday’s Result :

1.30 Fontwell : Lady of Longstone @ 9/4 BOG 2nd at 9/4 Behind, headway 4 out, chased leaders next, every chance 2 out, kept on same pace closing stages, beaten by 1.25 lengths.

Next up is Saturday’s…

2.15 Aintree

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Virgilio @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 2, 4yo+, Handicap Chase over 2m4f on Good to Soft ground worth £46,425 to the winner.

..and an 8 yr old gelding trained by Dan Skelton, whose horses are in fine fettle right now with 9 winners and 11 placers from his 27 runners so far this month.

This 33.3% win strike rate has yielded 22.95pts profit at an ROI of 85% and with an overall place strike rate of some 74.1%, those numbers could have been even better with a bit more luck.

Of those 27 runners so far this month, 20 have been ridden by Harry Skelton, which has brought about 8 winners (40% SR) and 27.43pts profit at a return of 137.15% and today the Skeltons team up with a horse who has already won 6 of his 12 starts with another couple of placed efforts for good measure and he seems ideal for this contest today, because he is…

  • 5 wins + 2 places from 11 under Harry Skelton (3+2/7 in chases)
  • 6+1/10 going left handed (3+1/5 in chases)
  • 6/7 at odds of 4/1 and shorter (3/4 in chases)
  • 4+1/7 at 2m3f/2m4f (1+1/3 in chases)
  • 3+2/7 in chases
  • 6/6 as fav/jt fav (3/3 in chases)
  • 4/5 in handicaps (1/1 in chases)
  • 3/5 here at Aintree (1/2 in chases)
  • 4/4 at Class 2 (2/2 in chases)
  • 3/3 after a break of 4 months or longer (1/1 in chases)
  • 1+1/2 on Good to Soft ground (both chases)

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Virgilio @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 8.05pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.15 Aintree

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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