Stat of the Day, 13th December 2017

Tuesday’s Result :

3.15 Lingfield : Entertaining Ben @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 3/1 Tracked leader until ridden just inside final furlong, kept on same pace.

And now we’ll tackle Wednesday’s…

3.00 Lingfield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Attain @ 11/4 BOG

A Class 6, 3yo+ A/W Handicap over 1m2f on Polytrack worth £2,264 to the winner…

This 8 yr old gelding was a decent third here at this track just a week ago and comes into this contest with…

  • 7 previous wins at this trip
  • 6 wins at Class 6
  • 5 wins at this venue
  • 4 wins over course and distance
  • and 3 wins from just 9 within a week of his last run.

He was unlucky last time out when getting headed late on over 2 furlongs further than today, eventually just going down by a head twice to horses he was conceding 8lbs and 6lbs to respectively. He now runs off a mark 4lbs lower than his last winning mark and dropping back in trip, has to be feared.

Trainer Archie Watson is 4/15 (26.6% SR) over the last 14 days and backing all his horses blindly this year would have given you 52 winners from 257 (20.2% SR) for 17.1pts (+6.6% ROI), including…

  • at Class 5/6 : 44/181 (24.3%) for 50.2pts (+27.7%)
  • on the A/W : 35/155 (22.6%) for 21.8pts (+14%)
  • 1-15 days since last run : 27/106 (25.5%) for 42.6pts (+40.2%)
  • ridden by Ed Greatrex : 16/72 (22.2%) for 11.8pts (+16.4%)
  • finished 3rd LTO : 8/39 (20.5%) for 8.5pts (+21.8%)
  • and on the A/W here at Lingfield : 6/36 (16.6%) for 2.17pts (+6.02%)

..giving us… a 1pt win bet on Attain @ 11/4 BOG which was offered by Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.30pm on Tuesday, with plenty of acceptable 5/2 BOG available elsewhere. And to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.00 Lingfield

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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