Stat of the Day, 20th December 2017

Tuesday’s Result :

1.00 Southwell : Mach One @ 5/2 BOG 3rd at 11/8 Slowly into stride, held up, ridden over 3f out, headway 2f out, pressing for 2nd inside final furlong, not trouble winner, kept on.

Next up is Wednesday’s…

7.40 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Black Prince @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 6, 3yo+ Handicap over 2m on Polytrack worth £2,588 to the winner…

…and a 3yr old who has made the frame in 5 of his last 7 outings, including each of his last three starts and his record in A/W handicaps currently reads 331, including a win and a place at today’s 2m trip.

His trainer, Anthony Honeyball, is in absolutely excellent form of late, having clocked up…

  • 11 from 33 (33.3% SR) for 12.23pts (+37.1% ROI) over the past month
  • 5/15 (33.3%) for 0.82pts (+5.5%) over the past fortnight
  • and 3/8 (37.5%) for 1.92pts (+24%) in the last week

He is, admittedly, better known to most as a National Hunt trainer, but does run a few on the Flat/AW and often to good effect. To this end, he is 2/4 (50%) for 25.3pts (+882%) no the A/W this year and in non-NH contests at 1m6f to 2m2f his record stands at 4 from 16 (25% SR) for 6.82pts (+42.6% ROI), from which…

  • handicappers are 4/15 (26.7%) for 7.82pts (+52.1%)
  • at 2m to 2m2f : 3/10 (30%) for 8.68pts (+86.8%)
  • at Class 6 : 2/8 (25%) for 8pts (+100%)
  •  and this year = 3/7 (42.9%) for 8.64pts (+123.4%)

Black Prince is also Anthony’s only runner on the Kempton card today and since 2008 when sending a solo runner to a track, the yard has landed the spoils on 109 of 562 (19.4% SR) occasions, netting profits of some 265.7pts (+47.3% ROI) along the way, from which…

  • males are 63/332 (19%) for 168.9pts (+50.9%)
  • handicappers are 65/294 (65/294 (22.1%) for 151.2pts (+51.4%)
  • Class 6 runners are 19/87 (21.8%) for 76.8pts (+88.3%)
  • and in December : 13/68 (19.1%) for 100.5pts (+147.8%)

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Black Prince @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 9.30pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 7.40 Kempton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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