Stat of the Day, 30th December 2017

Friday’s Result :

3.10 Doncaster : Muthabir @ 5/1 BOG non-runner Meeting abandoned – frost.

After the loss of another jumps meeting, I’m playing it (hopefully) safer by closing out another highly successful year with an early start in Saturday’s…

11.30 Lingfield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Joegogo @ 10/3 BOG

A Class 4, 2yo+ Handicap (Nursery) over 6f on Polytrack worth £3,946 to the winner…


Well, this 2 yr old gelding has won three of his last four outings and has a 3 from 5 record on the A/W, including…

  • 3/4 under today’s jockey Fran Berry (more on him shortly!)
  • 3/4 in fields of fewer than 8 runners
  • 3/4 going left handed
  • 3/3 in Nurseries
  • 1/1 here at Lingfield

He’s trainer David Evans’ only runner of the day, making it no surprise that Fran Berry does take the ride, as the pair are 18/82 (22% SR) for 57pts (+69.5% ROI) together in what has been a very successful 2017 for the partnership. Amongst those 82 runners…

  • handicappers are 15/62 (24.2%) for 63.1pts (+101.7%)
  • over trips of a mile and shorter : 15/62 (24.2%) for 61.7pts (+99.5%)
  • males are 14/59 (23.7%) for 53.2pts (+90.1%)
  • on the A/W : 10/38 (26.3%) for 23.7pts (+62.4%)
  • 2 yr olds are 5/30 (16.6%) for 18pts (+60%)
  • in December : 7/23 (30.4%) for 26.6pts (+115.5%)
  • in Nurseries : 4/14 (28.6%) for 27.5pts (+196%)
  • at Class 4 : 2/13 (15.4%) for 1.37pts (+10.5%)
  • at Lingfield : 3/10 (30%) for 1.06pts (+10.6%)
  • with David’s only runner at the track : 3/8 (37.5%) for 14.32pts (+179%)
  • and with David’s only runner of the day : 2/4 (50%) for 14.09pts (+352.3%)

AND…if you backed their 2-4 yr old males in A/W hcps at 5f to 8f this year, you’d be looking at 6 winners from 12 (50% SR) and profits of 22.46pts at an ROI of some 187.2%

…suggesting… a 1pt win bet on Joegogo @ 10/3 BOG which was widely available at 5.50pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 11.30 Lingfield

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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