Stat of the Day, 10th January 2018

Tuesday’s Result :

1.45 Southwell : London @ 7/1 BOG WON at 7/1 Made all, ridden and ran on inside final furlong to win by a neck….

Next up is Wednesday’s…

3.00 Ludlow:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Tb Broke Her @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 4, 5yo+ Handicap Chase over 3m2f on Good to Soft ground worth £6,888 to the winner…

Why?

An 8 yr old mare having just her third run since moving to Matt Shepherd’s yard, having made the frame in both starts for her new handler and ridden by today’s jockey, Stan Shepherd (3) on each occasion. She was third here at Ludlow over an inadequately short 2m4f on yard debut, but followed that up with a win LTO, 25 days ago over 3m1f on soft ground.

She’s understandably up in weight, but still receives 12 to 25lbs from each of her rivals today, which should help her to improve her trainer’s 5 year record in handicap chases, which currently stands at 38 from 230 (16.5% SR) for 163.8pts (+71.2% ROI), including of note today…

  • 1-30 days since run : 26/149 (17.5%) for 140.5pts (+94.3%)
  • at Class 4 : 21/127 (16.5%) for 118.8pts (+93.5%)
  • on Good to Soft/Soft : 21/96 (21.9%) for 159.7pts (+166.4%)
  • ridden by Stan Shepherd : 15/92 (16.3%) for 37.4pts (+40.6%)
  • January to May : 26/90 (28.9%) for 132pts (+146.7%)
  • LTO winners : 10/33 (30.3%) for 28.8pts (+87.2%)
  • and here at Ludlow : 5/28 (17.9%) for 11.5pts (+41.2%)

…giving us…… a 1pt win bet on Tb Broke Her @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 5.30pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.00 Ludlow

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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