Stat of the Day, 13th January 2018

Friday’s Result :

2.30 Huntingdon : Fly Home Harry @ 5/1 BOG WON at 7/1 Prominent, led 3rd, not fluent and headed 6th, not much room 7th, led 4 out, clear after next until idled flat, ridden out to win by 2.75 lengths….

We’ll round off an excellent week in Saturday’s…

9.15 Wolverhampton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Mouchee @ 5/1 BOG

A Class 6, 3yo Handicap  over 1m1.5f on Tapeta worth £3,105 to the winner…

Why?

A 3 yr old colt who won over course and distance when last seen 54 days ago and whose trainer David Evans has saddled three winners from nine over the past week.

In 2017, David’s LTO winners priced shorter than 7/1 were 8/22 (36.4% SR) for 11.2pts (+50.8% ROI) in A/W handicaps, from which…

  • Class 6 runners were 3/8 (37.5%) for 4.27pts (+53.4%)
  • Wolverhampton runners were 3/5 (60%) for 5.45pts (+109%)

Fran Berry takes the ride today and this will the 20th time he’s ridden for David Evans here at Wolverhampton, having already won 5 of 19 (26.3% SR) for 14.1pts (+74%) profit with a 5/15 (33.3%) record in handicaps bearing 18.1pts at an ROI of 120.4%.

And of these 15 Evans/Berry Wolverhampton handicappers…

  • males are 5/14 (35.7%) for 19.1pts (+136.2%)
  • at Class 6 : 2/8 (25%) for 11pts (+137.7%)
  • 3 yr olds are 2/7 (28.6%) for 12pts (+171.6%)
  • priced shorter than 7/1 @ 4/4 (100%) for 15.67pts (+391.75%)
  • LTO winners : 2/2 (100%) for 6.56pts (+328%)

…pointing to… a 1pt win bet on Mouchee @ 5/1 BOG which was on offer with Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.40pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 9.15 Wolverhampton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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