Stat of the Day, 20th January 2018

Friday’s Result :

2.00 Lingfield : Miss Minuty @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 9/2 Switched left start, held up in rear, short of room over 2f out, effort just inside final furlong, kept on one pace….

Next up is Saturday’s…

12.20 Lingfield :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Chester Street @ 3/1 BOG

A Class 4, 4yo+ A/W Handicap over 1m on Polytrack worth £5,531 to the winner…

Why?

A 5 yr old gelding who was beaten by less than a length last time out, despite coming off a 231 day absence. He was only caught very late on that day at Kempton and although he’s been rested since, hi current lay-off is less than half the length of that last one.

Despite that last defeat, he’s still 3 from 6 on the A/W so far (all on Polytrack), including…

  • 2/5 over 1 mile, 2/5 in handicaps and 3/4 when sent off at 9/2 or shorter
  • 3/4 in fields of 9-12 runners, 2/4 going left handed and 2/4 in a hood
  • 2/2 when sent off as favourite and 1/1 at Class 4, although he is also a former Class 2 winner.

He’s trained by Roger Charlton, whose runners are 26/107 (24.3% SR) for 36.1pts (+33.8% ROI) here on the Lingfield A/W over the last four years, from which…

  • Class 3 to 5  : 19/75 (25.3%) for 45.9pts (+61.2%)
  • over 6f to a mile : 19/67 (28.4%) for 54.07pts (+80.7%)
  • males are 15/61 (24.6%) for 39pts (+63.9%)
  • 5 yr olds are 2/6 (33.3%) for 5.62pts (+93.7%)

AND…Class 3 to 5 males over 6f to a mile are 9/27 (33.3% SR) for 53pts (+196.4% ROI)

PLUS…when Roger has used a jockey claiming 3lb in an A/W handicap over the last two years, those runners are 8/30 (26.6% SR) for 19.77pts at an ROI of 65.9%.

…pointing… a 1pt win bet on Chester Street @ 3/1 BOG which was available from 10Bet, Coral & Ladbrokes at 4.55pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 12.20 Lingfield

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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