Race of the Day – 26 January 2018

Race of the Day – 18:00 Dundalk

The Horses For Courses report is the report that is available for all registered users on a Friday and it shows that Clear Skies has an excellent record at Dundalk. From eight races here she has won four of them (50%) and been placed in six (75%), for level stakes profits of 6.00 and 7.51.

She races in a reasonable looking ten-furlong handicap here this evening and is currently priced at 5/2.

The current form of Clear Skies has been excellent with four wins and a third place in her last five races. She was stepped up to two miles last time and didn’t appear to see the trip out (not helped by the ten-pound rise in the weights for the previous win), and reverting back to ten furlongs today looks sure to help.

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Aiden O’Brien has a brilliant record at this course over the past year, with 17 winners (30.91%) and 32 places (58.18%) from 55 runners, for level stakes profits of 4.13 and 6.79, and an Impact Value of 3.72.

It is also interesting to note that O’Brien’s strike rate with his runners on the all-weather courses is nearly 5% higher than his overall strike rate and shows an Impact Value of 2.42.

Donnacha O’Brien hasn’t ridden in many races lately but has still managed a couple of winners and he also has a useful record here at Dundalk. Over the past year, he is 21/81 for 10.53 points and an Impact Value of 3.12.

The Instant Expert report shows that Clear Skies has a lovely full line of green and is clearly very well suited to today’s conditions.

The majority of the rest of the field are also higher in the weights than for their last win and I am hopeful that if Clear Skies can repeat her earlier performances she will be tough to beat.

From looking at the Pace report we can see that early leaders over this distance and prominent runners have the best records.

Commander Won is usually away quickly and looks the likeliest to be the early leaders although Clear Skies has a nice draw in stall one and will hopefully be able to get a good early position.

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