Stat of the Day, 29th January 2018

Saturday’s Result :

4.00 Uttoxeter : Major Hindrance @ 10/3 BOG 3rd at 4/5 TTracked leaders, lost place before 3rd, ridden 5th, headway after next, not fluent 8th, struggling next, behind when mistake 4 out, rallied after 2 out, went 3rd last, no impression on leaders…

Next up is Monday’s…

2.40 Hereford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


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All Is Good @ 7/2 BOG

A Class 4, 4yo+ Handicap Hurdle over 2m on Soft ground worth £4,159 to the winner…


Well, on a day where there aren’t many stat angles jumping out at me, I’m going to keep it simple for a change!

I felt that presence of a Tom Lacey runner here meant that our pick offered some decent value at the prices quoted on what could be pretty tough going.

Our boy is trained by the in-form Robin Dickin, whose runners have all made the frame over the last fortnight with 3 winners and 3 placers from his 6 entrants and his representative here is a lightly raced 6 yr old gelding by Scorpion and that’s of interest to me, because…

Scorpion handicap jumpers are 14 from 102 (13.7% SR) for 113pts (+110.8% ROI) profit since the start of 2016 when running on ground declared as soft or softer and amongst those 102 mudlarks…

  • males are 9/79 (11.4%) for 115.2pts (+145.8%)
  • on Soft : 9/69 (13%) for 116.2pts (+168.4%)
  • over hurdles : 8/65 (12.3%) for 110.3pts (+169.7%)
  • at Class 4 : 9/60 (15%) for 121.4pts (+202.3%)
  • at odds of 2/1 to 10/1 : 12/55 (21.8%) for 29pts (+52.7%)
  • January/February : 7/36 (19.4%) for 22.03pts (+61.2%)
  • and here at hereford : 2/3 (66.6%) for 16.7pts (+556.6%)

…and this simple approach gives…a 1pt win bet on All Is Good @ 7/2 BOG which was widely available at 5.30pm on Sunday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.40 Hereford

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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