Stat of the Day, 3rd February 2018

Friday’s Result :

4.15 Lingfield : Easy Tiger @ 4/1 BOG WON at 9/2 Made all, set steady pace until quickened over 2f out, held on well to win by 0.75 lengths…

We continue with Saturday’s…

3.15 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

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Delusionofgrandeur @ 5/1 BOG

A Class 2, 5yo+ Handicap Chase over 4m1f on Good To Soft ground worth £25,024 to the winner…

Why?

An 8 yr old gelding with four wins and three places from his last nine efforts over fences and he has won three of five starts on good to soft ground, including two from three over fences.

His yard is in good form too with Sue Smith’s runners winning four of eleven over the past seven days, with five of the seven “losers” managing to make the frame.

Since 2012, Sue’s handicap chasers racing at trips of 2m5f and beyond on ground with the word soft in the going description are 42 from 297 (14.1% SR) generating level stakes profits of 121.8pts at an ROI of some 41%.

And, of those 297 runners, those that were Sue’s only runner at a given track that day went on to win 7 of 31 (22.6% SR) for 36.6pts (+117.9% ROI)

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Delusionofgrandeur @ 5/1 BOG which was available from around a half dozen firms at 6.20pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.15 Musselburgh

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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