Stat of the Day, 8th February 2018

Wednesday’s Result :

2.25 Chelmsford : Mossys Lodge @ 3/1 BOG WON at 5/1 Slowly into stride, soon handy, went 2nd over 1f out, challenged inside final furlong, led towards finish…

We continue with Thursday’s…

7.00 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Fareeq @ 3/1 BOG

A Class 6, 6f handicap on Polytrack worth £3,249 to the winner…

Why?

A winner 18 days ago over course and distance under tonight’s jockey Jason Watson.

Over the last 20 days, trainer Charlie Wallis is 4/15 926.7%) for 11.98pts (+79.9% ROI) whilst jockey Jason is 2 from 4 (50%) for 14.31pts (+357.8%) in the last week alone.

Charlie’s LTO winners are 6/27 922.2% SR) for 9.66pts (+35.8% ROI)

And over the last three years, his runners who won LTO 1-25 days earlier at the same class & distance went on to win 3 of 9 933.3% SR) for 8.27pts (+91.9% ROI) with a 2 from 2 record here at Chelmsford yielding 8pts at an ROI of 400%!

And this rather simplistic approach…

…gives us…a 1pt win bet on Fareeq @ 3/1 BOG which was available from Bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power & Betbright at 7.15pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 7.00 Chelmsford

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!