Midnightly makes it onto The Shortlist at Wolverhampton today, in a five-furlong dash. She is quite attractively priced at around 12/1 and worth a closer look.
She has a score of nine on The Shortlist, with two sections and green and three of amber, suggesting she is well suited to the conditions of this race.
Midnightly hasn’t been in great form recently, but she did win over course and distance last August (which was four runs ago), and that was also from today’s handicap mark of 70..
That was the last time that Martin Harley rode her competitively and it’s encouraging he’s back on today.
Rae Guest has a particularly good long-term record here at Wolverhampton. Over the past five years, he’s had 18 winners (23.68%) and 25 places (32.89%) from 76 runners, for level stakes profits of 38.55 and 24.94 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.11.
Martin Harley has been riding well recently and has been among the winners. Over the past 30 days, he’s had nine winners (24.32%) and 12 places (32.43%) from 37 runners, for level stakes profits of 17.32 and 5.52 respectively and an Impact Value of 2.07.
He also has an excellent record at Wolverhampton. Over the past five years, he’s had 83 winners (17.89%) and 193 places (41.59%) from 464 runners, for level stakes profits of 60.17 and 57.01 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.59.
There are only three sections of green between the entire field on the Instant Expert report, and two of those belong to Midnightly. She is also running from the same mark as her last victory, so appears to have a chance on these terms.
The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have a good record, with 18.62% of them going on to win the race, for level stakes profits of 97.88 and an Impact Value of 1.61.
Impart is usually away quickly and is likely to be at the head of affairs early on.
Midnightly led the whole way when winning last year and from a good draw in stall four I expect Harley to try and do the same again in this one.
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