Race of the Day – 28 March 2018

Race of the Day – 14:00 Wincanton

The Sire Snippets report shows that although he hasn’t sired a large number of horses to have run in the UK, Doctor Dino has a quite brilliant strike rate. He has sired 18 winners (43.90%) and 23 places (56.10%) from 41 runners, for level stakes profits of 30.23 and 31.63 respectively and an Impact Value of 4.11.

Darcy Ward was sired by Doctor Dino and runs at Wincanton today in a novices’ hurdle.

Darcy Ward was a good winner last time out at Taunton in a novices’ hurdle over 19 furlongs, where he was strong at the finish, suggesting that the further two furlongs he’s racing over today will bring out further improvement in him.

The second place horse in that race at Taunton has come out and won since, giving the form a solid look.

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Jack Barber doesn’t have too many runners, but he has found a couple of winners during the past month. In that time he’s had two winners and places (40%) from five runners, for level stakes profits of 5.00 and 3.90 respectively and an Impact Value of 3.31.

His record with horses coming off of a break of 60+ days is also impressive. From his last 12 such runners, he’s had four winners (33.33%) and six places (50%), for level stakes profits of 8.16 and 7.35 respectively and an Impact Value of 3.54.

Nick Scholfield has been in excellent form recently and appears to be riding with lots of confidence. Over the past 14 days, he’s had seven winners (36.84%) and ten places (52.63%) from 19 runners, for level stakes profits of 32.25 and 35.71 respectively and an Impact Value of 3.27.

He also has a good record here at Wincanton, as he is 4/18 (22.22%) over the past year for 8.25 points and an Impact Value of 1.70.

When looking at the Instant Expert report it is Captain Cattistock that really stands out, having a nice full line of green. He does have to carry at least six pounds more than any other runner so could still be vulnerable.

Darcy Ward has three sections of green which is the next best on offer.

The Pace report shows that horses that are held up here over this distance have the best record, with 18.92% of them going on to win the race, for a level stakes profit of 11.00 and an Impact Value of 1.42.

Scholfield waited with Darcy Ward last time and I would expect him to do the same again today, with the top weight Captain Cattistock looking the most likely early leader.

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