Race of the Day – 4 April 2018

Race of the Day – 18:15 Kempton

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Charlie Fellowes has an excellent record with last time out winners. With his last 50 such runners, he’s had 17 winners (34%) and 25 places (50%), which have produced level stakes profits of 16.18 and 8.87 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.80.

Vice Marshall was a winner last time out in February and goes in a one-mile handicap at Kempton today.

It was at Lingfield that Vice Marshall got his head in front last time out and he has since been raised six pounds in the handicap for that win. I am hoping that now he has managed to get his head in front he will go on to better things and keep improving, which would still give him a chance from this mark

Charlie Fellowes has a good long-term record here at Kempton. Over the past five years, he’s had 19 winners (19%) from 100 runners, for a level stakes profit of 2.15 and an Impact Value of 1.85.

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He is also has a great record with his runners in handicaps. From his last 224 such runners, he’s managed to have 43 winners (19.20%) and 94 places (41.96%), for level stakes profits of 55.49 and 45.80 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.87.

James Doyle has been riding brilliantly recently and has plenty of winners. Over the past 14 days, he’s had six winners (42.86%) and seven places (50%) from 14 runners, for level stakes profits of 5.97 and 2.34 respectively and an Impact Value of 3.81.

It doesn’t appear to be a race with any real depth when looking at the Instant Expert report, as there are few sections of green.

Vice Marshall does have three sections of green and one of amber, showing that he is reasonably well suited to today’s conditions. As mentioned above, he is also six pounds higher than his last winning mark.

The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have the best record, with 10.40% of them going on to win the race.

There doesn’t appear to be a great deal of pace in this race with no real obvious front-runner, meaning there is a chance of a falsely run race.

Vice Marshall is usually quite prominent in his races so it may that Doyle heads to the front and dictates the pace himself.

Click here for the 18:15 at Kempton.

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