Stat of the Day, 5th April 2018

Wednesday’s Runner was…

15:25 Southwell: Kyllachys Tale @ 10/3 BOG 6th @ 11/2 (Taken to post early, steadied start in touch, pushed along 3f out, ridden and headway 2f out, hung right over 1f out, weakened final furlong op 9/2)

We continue with Thursday’s…

19:15 Chelmsford

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Ourmullion @ 7/1 BOG

A Class 4, ten-furlong handicap on the all-weather at Chelmsford…


Ourmullion made all over course and distance on his penultimate start, and although four pounds higher this time around the booking of SDS is a big plus and I hope a return to this track will help. Front runners are often favoured here so I expect De Sousa to try and get away quickly to enable him to dictate things from the front.

The following stats are applicable to our selection.

  • on the all-weather courses, he is 4/12 (33.33%) for 25.5 pts
  • over today’s distance, he is 3/5 (60%) for 27.5 pts
  • here at Chelmsford, he is 3/7 (42.86%) for 25.5 pts
  • in this Class, he is 2/9 (22.22%) for 18 pts
  • trainer John Best at Chelmsford over the past year, is 18/95 (18.95%) for 50 pts
  • with his middle distance runners, he is 21/178 (11.80%) for 2.26 pts
  • Silverstre De Sousa over the past 14 days, is 6/26 (23.08%) for 4 pts

…all pointing to…a 1pt win bet on Ourmullion @ 7/1 BOG which was available with Bet365 and Paddy Power (15/2) at 17:00 on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 19:15 at Chelmsford

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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