Stat of the Day, 21st April 2018

Friday’s Runner was…

3.15 Ayr : Darius des Bois @ 3/1 BOG 2nd at 2/1 (Tracked leaders, went 2nd after 4 out, led narrowly next, mistake last, ridden and headed flat, kept on same pace)

We now continue with Saturday’s…

2.45 Bangor :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Red Devil Star @ 11/4 BOG

A 10-runner, Class 4,  2m1.5f Handicap Chase (5yo+) on good to soft ground worth £5133 to the winner…

Why?

A winner 10 days ago on heavy ground over 2m2f at Market Rasen romping home by some 16 lengths and is of immediate interest, because…

2013-18 / UK Class 3&4 handicap chases / 1m7f to 3m3.5f / ground has the word “good” in the title / males / odds of 10-1 and shorter / same class or up by 1 or grades from LTO / won hcp chase LTO 4-20 days ago = 199/721 (27.6% SR) for 146.4pts (+20.3% ROI), including…

  •  Class 4 : 128/432 (29.6%) for 71.9pts (+16.6%)
  • 6-15 days since last run : 132/429 (30.8%) for 123pts (+28.7%)
  • good to soft : 68/245 (27.8%) for 58.2pts (+23.8%)
  • April : 45/105 (42.9%) for 71.6pts (+68.2%)
  • won by 15-30 lengths LTO : 22/61 (36.1%) for 26.7pts (+43.7%)
  • at Bangor : 7/20 (35%) for 6.7pts (+33.5%)

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Red Devil Star @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 6.45pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 2.45 Bangor

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!

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