Race of the Day – 9 May 2018

Race of the Day – 15:35 Chester

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Tom Dascombe has a great record with last time out winners. From his last 125 such runners, he’s had 33 winners (26.40%) and 54 places (43.20%), for level stakes profits of 38.50 and 25.24 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.40.

He has two runners today that were last time out winners, and I am going to be concentrating on Proschema.

Proschema was a wide margin winner at the end of last month on soft ground at Haydock, and although that was a novices’ stakes it was mightily impressive. This Declaration Of War colt is now rated 100 and looks well worth a chance in this Group 3 over one and a half miles.

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As well as having a good record with last time out winners, the Dascombe yard has been in good recent form. Over the past 30 days, he’s had six winners (18.18%) and 12 places (36.36%) from 33 runners, for level stakes profits of 5.75 and 5.18 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.79.

Jockey Richard Kingscote has also been in impressive form and over the past 14 days, he’s had four winners (16%) and eight places (32%) from 25 runners, for level stakes profits of 5.67 and 0.44 respectively and an Impact Value of 1.54.

Kingscote also appears to like racing here at Chester as he has an excellent long-term strike rate. Over the last five years, he is 38/198 (19.19%) for an Impact Value of 1.63.

As this is a race for three-year-olds early on in the season the Instant Expert report doesn’t have a huge amount of data on it.

Proschema does look well suited to conditions, however, having three sections of green to his name.

From looking at the Pace report there doesn’t appear to be a lot of early speed, although Proschema lead early on and made all last time out, so it would be no surprise to see Kingscote aim to do the same again here today.

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