Stat of the Day, 27th July 2018

Thursday’s Pick was…

5.15 Doncaster : Muatadel @ 11/2 BOG 4th at 4/1 (Prominent, lost place when ridden 2f out, hampered 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, not reach leaders)

Friday’s pick goes in the…

3.55 Uttoxeter :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Notnow Seamus @ 11/4 BOG

In an 8-runner, Class 4, Handicap Hurdle for 4yo+ over 2m4½f on Good ground worth £4094 to the winner…

Why?

This 7 yr old gelding has won three of his last six starts and comes here on a hat-trick after a course and distance success here at Uttoxeter under today’s jockey in this grade 26 days ago, taking his hurdling record to include the following…

• 3/6 on good ground, 3/6 going left handed, 3/5 in handicaps
• 3/5 at Class 4, 3/5 without his hood, 3/4 within 30 days of his last run
• 2/4 with a tongue tie, 2/3 in fields of 8-11 runners, 2/2 at 2m4f/2m4.5f
• 1/1 here at Uttoxeter, 1/1 over C&D

Whilst over the last 30 days…

• trainer Dan Skelton is 20/57 (35.1% SR)
• jockey Harry Skelton is 20/54 (37.0% SR)
• and together they are 20/54 (37.0% SR)

…and over the past fortnight…

• trainer Dan is 9/29 (31% SR)
• jockey Harry is 9/27 (33.3% SR)
• and together they are 9/27 (33.3% SR)

…and here at Uttoxeter since the start of 2015…

• Dan is 41/134 (30.6% SR) for 51.6pts (+38.5% ROI)
• Harry is 43/107 (40.2% SR) for 111.9pts (+104.6% ROI)
• and together they are 40/94 (42.6% SR) for 89.5pts (+95.2% ROI)

…and of these 94 runners…

• from May to September : 35/80 (43.8%) for 77.1pts (+96.3%)
• in handicaps : 27/67 (40.3%) for 80.42pts (+120%)
• at Class 4/5 : 33/72 (45.8%) for 75.77pts (+105.2%)
• on Good ground : 27/60 (45%) for 73.2pts (+122%)
• over hurdles : 25/53 (47.2%) for 78.8pts (+148.7%)
• 7-9 yr olds are 21/44 (47.7%) for 79.2pts (+180%)
• and LTO winners are 17/30 (56.7%) for 24.6pts (+82.1%)

…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Notnow Seamus @ 11/4 BOG, a price available from BetVictor, Boylesports, Coral & Ladbrokes at 8.50pm on Thursday, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 3.55 Uttoxeter

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!