Tuesday’s Pick was…
5.15 Ffos Las : Air of York @ 3/1 BOG 4th at 7/1 (Held up, headway over 2f out, soon chasing leaders, never able to challenge, weakened closing stages)
Wednessday’s pick goes in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Pot Luck @ 3/1 BOG
In a 12-runner, Class 6, A/W Nursery for 2yo over 7f on Polytrack worth £3105 to the winner…
Here we have a 2yr old filly trained by Andrew Balding, whose runners are in fine form right now (wish I was!), notching up 8 winners from 19 (42.1% SR) over the last 7 days.
More long-term, Andrew’s runners making their second start in a handicap are 40 from 229 (17.5% SR) for 99.9pts (+43.6% ROI) since the start of 2014 and these runners include…
- June-October : 24/143 (16.8%) for 114pts (+79.7%)
- 7f/1m : 13/76 (17.1%) for 62.8pts (+82.7%)
- females : 13/66 (19.7%) for 52.8pts (+80%)
- in 2018 : 10/36 (27.8%) for 69.5pts (+192.9%)
- Class 6 : 8/34 (23.5%) for 2.9pts (+8.6%)
- at Kempton : 8/33 (24.2%) for 22.4pts (+68%)
…AND… females at 7f/1m in June-October = 4/15 (26.7% SR) for 53.9pts (+359.6% ROI) including 2 wins from 3 this year so far.
Joshua Bryan takes the ride today and takes 3lbs off our girl’s back with his claim and Andrew Balding + A/W handicaps + 3lb claimers = 14/59 (23.7% SR) for 26.3pts (+44.6% ROI) since the start of 2013, including of relevance today…
- on Polytrack : 13/48 (27.1%) for 14.5pts (+30.1%)
- over 7f to 8.5f : 7/27 (25.9%) for 9.04pts (+33.5%)
- Sub-5/1 shots are 11/25 (44%) for 19pts (+76%)
- and here at Kempton : 5/14 (35.7%) for 19.4pts (+138.5%)
…AND…at odds shorter than 5/1 on Polytrack over 7f to 8.5f = 6/10 (60% SR) for 14.87pts (+148.7% ROI) with one winner from two here at Kempton showing 3.75pts profit.
…giving us…a 1pt win bet on Pot Luck @ 3/1 BOG, a price offered by Bet365, Betfair & Paddy Power at 5.00pm on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply…
Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!