Stat of the Day, 18th February 2019

Saturday’s Pick was…

3.20 Ascot : Getaway Trump @ 3/1 BOG 4th at 4/1 (Held up towards rear, headway on outside chasing leaders before 2 out, kept on into 4th final 100 yards)

Monday’s pick runs in the…

3.00 Carlisle :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Absolutely Dylan @ 5/2 BOG

…in a 9-runner, Class 4, handicap chase over 2m4f on soft, worth £6498 to the winner… 

Why?

Sue Smith and Danny Cook are a dynamite partnership, and they come to this race both in good recent form and with an excellent long term course record.

Over the last five years in Carlisle handicaps, they’ve combined for ten wins from 34 starts, netting a profit of 20.45 points (A/E 1.39).

In the past fortnight, they’ve paired up with five such runners, winning twice and placing with another (+6.5, A/E 3.17)

Looking at the last 30 days, we see the Smith/Cook axis has notched five from 12 (+21, A/E 2.70).

Absolutely Dylan drops in class and trip today and looks to have a fine chance of enhancing this team’s excellent recent record…

…giving us… a 1pt win bet on Absolutely Dylan @ 5/2 BOG which was widely available at 8.30am on Monday morning. To see what your preferred bookie is quoting…

…click here for the betting on the 3.00 Carlisle

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that’s unclear, please ask!